Why pressure is mounting at oil giant BP ahead of its annual general meeting


A sign at BP Plc petrol station in London, UK, on Monday, Aug. 4, 2025.

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A growing chorus of dissenting investors appear to be ramping up the pressure on BP ahead of its annual general meeting.

The Local Authority Pension Fund Forum (LAPFF), a top U.K. pension fund body, said late last week that it would recommend its members vote against BP Chair Albert Manifold and other board-supported resolutions at the April 23 meeting.

It follows recommendations from two influential proxy advisers, Glass Lewis and ISS, and one of Europe’s biggest asset managers, Legal & General Investment Management, for shareholders to vote against BP’s wishes.

Glass Lewis and ISS hold significant sway over how institutional investors tend to vote at AGMs and rarely advocate for voting against a firm’s board.

BP’s AGM comes while the energy major is in the process of pivoting back to its core business of oil and gas – and away from renewables – and as former Woodside Energy boss Meg O’Neill takes the reins as CEO.

Shares of the London-listed firm have soared since early April last year, when the company found itself firmly in the spotlight as a prime takeover candidate. BP has notched gains of nearly 32% so far this year, outpacing many of its U.S. and European rivals.

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Why pressure is mounting at oil giant BP ahead of its annual general meeting

Shares of BP over the last 12 months.

In a statement, LAPFF urged its members to vote against the re-election of BP’s Manifold, who only assumed his role as chair in October, reject BP’s push to retire two resolutions requiring company-specific climate reporting and oppose a resolution permitting virtual-only AGMs.

LAPFF said its recommendations came amid “serious governance concerns” and cited BP’s recent move to exclude a shareholder proposal put forward by Dutch activist group Follow This.

The motion tabled by Follow This, which has a long history of pushing for Big Oil to do more to tackle climate change, would have required BP to share its longer-term strategy under scenarios of falling oil and gas demand.

BP said its board, having taken legal advice, concluded that the proposal was not valid and would have been ineffective were it to have passed at the AGM.

A customer fills up a vehicle with fuel at a BP Plc petrol station in London, UK, on Monday, Aug. 4, 2025.

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In a Q&A with BP’s chair late last month, Manifold said the company would seek to retire two climate-related resolutions because the world had moved on since these were passed in 2015 and 2019 and that requirements under these BP-specific resolutions were “largely duplicative” of what the firm discloses under other industry regulations.

Referring to its plan to scrap these climate resolutions, a BP spokesperson told CNBC: “Following extensive engagement with our largest investors, we are fully focused on building a simpler, stronger and more valuable BP. That’s why we are making these recommendations, to provide transparent, standardized disclosures that support clear comparisons across companies.”

The company has also sought to make clear that retiring these resolutions does not change the firm’s net zero ambition.

Shareholder democracy

Mark van Baal, founder of Follow This, which is backed by European investors and represents less than 0.3% of BP shareholders, said the company had “crossed a red line” by refusing to table the group’s proposal.

“We’re just talking about value creation for shareholders. BP wants to get as little shareholder influence as possible and they call it simplification. We want transparency,” van Baal told CNBC by video call.

“What’s at stake here is, I think, larger than BP. It’s shareholder democracy that it’s at stake here,” he continued. “If BP gets away with excluding a resolution, then shareholder democracy will take a big blow because if BP can get away with it then other companies can as well.”

LAPFF said it would also support a proposal put forward by climate group ACCR, known as resolution 24, which seeks clearer disclosure on how BP evaluates the cost-competitiveness, execution risk and long-term value of its oil and gas investments.

Glass Lewis, for its part, has recommended investors support resolution 24, as well as against BP management on resolutions 23 and 4, which refer to the climate-reporting requirements introduced several years ago and the election of the chair, respectively.

ISS recommended voting against BP management on resolutions 22 (the move to virtual-only AGMs) and 23, while Legal & General Investment Management has made public its intention to vote against BP on resolutions 22, 23, 24 and 4.

New BP CEO: The challenges facing Meg O'Neill at oil giant

BP’s Manifold has said ACCR’s proposed resolution would “pull the company in the opposite direction to where we want and need to go – which is towards simpler, standardized and comparable reporting.”

Manifold also said many other large global companies already hold virtual-only AGMs and support from the firm’s shareholders would allow BP’s board the option to do the same from time to time.

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Middle East war sends natural gas prices soaring, raising growth shock risk for Europe and Asia


A prolonged surge in natural gas prices triggered by the ongoing war in the Middle East risks denting European growth and hitting some Asian economies hard, analysts have warned.

Global gas prices have soared this week amid fears of a lengthy disruption to energy flows through the Strait of Hormuz — a key shipping route running between Oman and Iran that handles about one-fifth of global LNG trade — as the Iran conflict escalates.

Dutch Title Transfer Facility (TTF) futures, Europe’s benchmark gas contract, rose 35% on Tuesday to more than 60 euros ($69.64) per megawatt-hour. On the week, prices are around 76% higher.

The Northeast Asia LNG benchmark, the Japan-Korea-Marker (JKM), which captures deliveries to Japan, Korea, China and Taiwan, reached a one-year high, and was last seen around 43 euros per megawatt-hour. U.K. natural gas was also sharply higher.

Qatar, one of the world’s largest LNG producers, halted production on Monday following Iranian drone strikes at Ras Laffan Industrial City and Mesaieed Industrial City. Goldman Sachs estimated the pause will reduce near-term global LNG supply by about 19%.

A senior Iranian Revolutionary Guard official later said the country had closed the Strait of Hormuz to all ships, and warned that any vessel attempting to pass through the channel would be attacked. The U.S., however, said the route remained open, according to a Fox News report.

Supply squeeze

Europe and much of Asia are more heavily exposed to potential gas price shocks than the U.S., which benefits from both domestic shale and LNG production.

Around 25% of Europe’s total gas supply is LNG, according to Chris Wheaton, oil and gas analyst at Stifel. With roughly 20% of global LNG production sitting behind the Strait, a prolonged disruption could trigger a supply squeeze comparable to the 2022 shock following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, he said in a note.

“We are much more concerned about European gas prices than we are about oil prices,” Wheaton said.

Shares of Norwegian energy giant Equinor, one of Europe’s largest natural gas suppliers, hit a 52-week high on Tuesday, adding more than 2%, after closing the previous session up more than 8%.

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Why pressure is mounting at oil giant BP ahead of its annual general meeting

Equinor.

Goldman Sachs, in a note published Monday, warned that a month-long halt to flows through Hormuz risks driving TTF and JKM prices toward 74 euros per megawatt-hour. This was the level that “triggered large natural gas demand responses” during the 2022 European energy crisis.

European gas prices ultimately peaked at 345 euros per megawatt-hour in August 2022 as Russia weaponized its natural gas exports in response to EU sanctions, cutting supply, which pushed up domestic energy bills and sparked a cost-of-living crisis across the continent.

In a separate note later Monday, Goldman raised its April TTF forecast to 55 euros per megawatt-hour from 36 euros per megawatt-hour, with its average second-quarter forecast now at 45 euros/MWh.

‘Negative implications’

Patrick O’Donnell, chief investment strategist at Omnis Investments, said LNG is now a key area of concern for Europe’s wider economy. “That may have more negative implications for the European economy and the reindustrialization that the market has been hoping that we get to see,” O’Donnell told CNBC’s “Squawk Box Europe” Monday.

Indeed, Goldman Sachs analysts led by Sven Jari Stehn noted that “the effects of higher energy prices on GDP tend to be negative for most countries, except for Norway which produces and exports oil.”

Goldman Sachs estimated that a sustained 10% rise in energy prices over four quarters would cut 0.2% off GDP in both the U.K. and the euro area. Switzerland, which relies more on nuclear and renewables, would be flat, while Norway — an oil exporter — would see a 0.1% boost.

In contrast, Goldman analysts see “limited upside risk” to U.S. natural gas prices.

Asian importers also affected

Asia is also vulnerable to supply disruption.

Invesco estimates that almost 58% of India’s LNG imports come from the Middle East, accounting for nearly 2% of its primary energy consumption. Around 27% of Singapore’s LNG imports come from the region, making up 2.2% of primary energy use.

Other Asia-Pacific nations source more than 37% of their LNG from the Middle East, Invesco said, representing almost 3% of primary energy consumption, while 26.6% of China’s LNG imports originate there.

Elias Haddad, global head of markets strategy at BBH, said countries heavily reliant on imported oil and gas with limited fiscal space — including Japan, India, South Africa, Turkey, Hungary and Malaysia — were the most vulnerable to energy disruption shocks, while Norway, Canada and Mexico are among the least exposed.

“A protracted conflict that leads to further disruption in energy production and shipping raises the risk of stagflation and could add to fiscal strains,” Haddad said in a note.