A rain-to-snow transition is sweeping across Ontario once again, with eastern and central parts of the province forecast to receive up to 20 centimetres of snow through Saturday.

According to weather forecasters, a storm similar to Wednesday’s system will move across southern and eastern Ontario on Friday, bringing another round of mixed and shifting precipitation.

The showers started Friday morning and will move east throughout the day.

Many regions are expected to see rain transition to freezing rain before changing over to snow, though not all areas will experience every phase.

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The precipitation near the Greater Toronto Area will create cloudy and wet conditions throughout the day, before the rain is expected to stop in the evening.

Compared with Wednesday’s storm, the approaching system is expected to deliver more consistent snowfall to eastern Ontario, including Ottawa, where accumulation totals could climb significantly.

According to Environment Canada, the heaviest snowfall, between 15 and 20 centimetres, is forecasted for parts of eastern and central Ontario, where colder air is expected to remain firmly in place.

Toronto, however, is expected to stay warm enough to predominantly see rain for much of the event, with a gradual shift to snow possible later.

Environment Canada has also issued yellow freezing rain warnings for some areas north and east of Ottawa, as well as regions farther north, including areas near Barrie.

Environment Canada urges the public to check driving conditions before getting behind the wheel.

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Toronto police are renewing warnings about dangerous ice conditions along the city’s waterfront after a man fell into the icy waters of Lake Ontario.

A video circulating on social media shows the individual walking on harbour ice before suddenly breaking through and falling into the freezing water, struggling to get out.

The individual finally self-rescued. Police confirm he was not injured and was “very lucky.”

However, police say this is just one of many “dangerous incidents” that have occurred in recent weeks.

Authorities say the video is part of a growing number of calls involving people venturing onto unstable ice despite repeated public safety warnings.

“No ice is safe ice,” the Toronto Police Service Marine Unit cautioned in a statement.

Despite the pleas, many people have continued to tread on thin ice.

Another image shared by TPS showed a child unsupervised walking toward the edge of ice, next to an open body of water, while they took photos several feet away.

Police say officers have been responding regularly to incidents involving individuals, families and large groups walking on Toronto Harbour ice, often untrained, without safety equipment or lifejackets.

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TPS shared the video along with other images this week to underscore the risks posed by unpredictable winter conditions.

The Marine Unit of Toronto also stressed that ice inside Toronto Harbour is especially hazardous due to constant marine traffic and active ice-breaking operations.

The service noted that ferry routes to and from the Toronto Islands operate year-round, requiring ice to be regularly broken, while police and partner agencies also conduct training exercises that intentionally disrupt ice surfaces.

Recent fluctuating temperatures below and above freezing have also made ice thickness and conditions unpredictable.

Officials warn that what appears frozen from shore may conceal thin ice or open water nearby.

Toronto police say Marine Unit patrols and public education have also ramped up their supervision near bodies of water, to ensure the public remains safe and warn people of the dangers of stepping on ice.

Police also reminded residents that Lake Ontario and Toronto Harbour are part of a federal port where specific regulations apply, including restrictions on swimming outside designated areas.

If someone falls through the ice, the Marine Unit advises bystanders to avoid stepping onto the ice and instead attempt to assist from shore, using nearby objects such as branches, ring buoys or rescue equipment.

Residents are urged to keep a safe distance from the water’s edge and remain mindful of rapidly changing winter conditions.

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Will all winters be wetter from now on?

After days of warming weather and gentler conditions, large parts of southern Ontario are set for another cold snap, which will bring more snow and freezing rain from Wednesday.

Weather warnings and advisories stretch from Windsor through Hamilton, Barrie and as far east as Belleville. They include fog, freezing rain and snow.

“The recent calm weather pattern will come to an abrupt end on Wednesday as a frontal system arrives from California,” Global News’ chief meteorologist Anthony Farnell explained.

“Significant amounts of snow, freezing rain and even rain are likely across parts of southern Ontario, with the GTA in line potentially for all three.”

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An orange weather alert for the Kitchener area, for example, predicts “significant” freezing rain, with ice accretion of five to 10 mm likely. Winds could hit as high as 60 km/h.

The prediction in Toronto itself is less severe, with a special weather statement for “hazardous winter conditions” including up to five cm of snow, reduced visiblity and ice pellets.

Some areas — and those that already have significant snow on the ground — could see more.

“The temperature at the surface and also a little higher in the atmosphere will play a crucial role in the precipitation type — and right now I would expect areas that stay mostly snow — (and could) end up with 15 to 20 cm by the end of Wednesday,” Farnell added.

“The highest snow totals will be where a winter storm watch is currently in place.”

Farnell said snow would giveway to ice heading west from Toronto into Hamilton, Kitchener and Guelph.

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A spell of snowfall could cause some travel disruption

A six-hour weather warning for snowfall has been issued by the Met Office. The warning covers parts of Cambridgeshire and runs from 10am to 4pm on Sunday (February 15).

The Met Office say that eastward-moving rain on Sunday morning is likely to turn to sleet and snow. Slushy accumulations of a cm or so are likely, with a chance of 2-4 cm should snow turn briefly heavier, this is more likely for the Lincolnshire Wolds and parts of Norfolk and Suffolk.

The show should turn back to rain before clearing late afternoon. Any lying snow is forecast to melt relatively quickly. Snowy, wintry weather can cause delays and make driving conditions dangerous.

The warning covers parts of Cambridgeshire, including Soham, Ely, Wisbech and March. Also affected is Lincolnshire, Rutland, part of Essex, Norfolk and Suffolk.

The Met Office’s East of England weather forecast for Sunday says: “A spell of sleet or snow is possible for a time in the morning before turning to rain from the west. Spells of heavy rain are becoming widespread for a time during the afternoon. Maximum temperature 7 °C.”

Turning to Sunday evening, they add: “Rain soon clearing the east to leave a mostly dry night with some clear spells. Perhaps some isolated heavy showers towards dawn. Minimum temperature 3 °C.”

Torontonians can finally expect a break from the stretch of extreme cold after last night’s special weather statement ended.

Over the Family Day long weekend, residents can expect above-seasonal temperatures on all three days starting Saturday morning, according to Environment Canada’s forecast.

On Saturday, the daytime high will rise to about 2 C, which is three times warmer than normal temperatures in mid-February.

The pleasant temperatures will also be followed by lots of sunshine carrying through into Sunday, with a daytime high of 4 C.

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On Monday, it’s expected to get slightly warmer with a high of 5 C, which will continue into Tuesday.

While it may not be patio season just yet, Torontonians can welcome the above freezing temperatures after experiencing one of the longest cold snaps in over a decade.

The cold snap, which lasted majority of January and into February, came with wind chills of – 35 on some days, as well as two major snowstorms.

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Extreme cold grips Toronto, wind chills to near -35 C

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