CNBC’s UK Exchange newsletter: FTSE 100’s defensive slant comes into its own


This report is from this week’s CNBC’s UK Exchange newsletter. Like what you see? You can subscribe here.

The dispatch

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CNBC’s UK Exchange newsletter: FTSE 100’s defensive slant comes into its own

FTSE 100

Additionally, the index contains plenty of constituents likely to benefit from turmoil in the Middle East, such as the defense contractor BAE Systems and suppliers to the industry, like Babcock International, Rolls-Royce and Melrose Industries, as well as oil majors BP and Shell.

This is a pattern well-established during times of strife: during the second Iraq War in 2003 and the Sept. 11 terrorist attacks in the U.S., the Footsie outperformed its European peers and, during the latter, the Dow Jones Industrial Average as well.

Mining stocks, which could benefit from higher commodity prices caused by disruption to shipping routes and supply chains, are also well represented in the FTSE 100. Rio Tinto, Glencore, Anglo American and the Chilean copper miner Antofagasta are among the 20 largest stocks in the index, while the likes of Fresnillo and Endeavour Mining are well-placed to benefit should the uncertainty lead to another leg higher in the price of gold. 

Nor do these defensive qualities apply just to the leading 100 U.K.-listed companies. The FTSE 250, the mid-cap U.K. stock index, is replete with defense industry suppliers, including Qinetiq Group, Avon Technologies, Hunting and Senior, not to mention oil and gas plays such as Ithaca Energy, Harbour Energy and Clarkson, the world’s largest shipbroking and integrated shipping services provider, another likely beneficiary from maritime disruption.

City workers in Paternoster Square, where the headquarters of the London Stock Exchange is based, in the City of London, UK.

Bloomberg | Bloomberg | Getty Images

So, for investors seeking to retain exposure to equities during times of conflict in the Middle East, the U.K. stock market is not a bad option.

To that, it can be added that sterling usually suffers when currency investors seek safety plays in the U.S. dollar, the Swiss franc and the yen, as seen on Monday morning, when the pound initially fell to a three-month low against the greenback.

Because FTSE 100 companies make around three-quarters of their revenues in currencies other than the pound — around 45% or so comes in dollars — sterling weakness tends to be good for the Footsie.

This phenomenon has been understood for years by professional investors but hit home with the wider public when, in June 2016, the vote to leave the EU crushed the pound while the FTSE 100, after an initial sell-off, rallied.

Energy prices in focus

Need to know

Coming up

MAR 5: New U.K. car sales for February 

MAR 6: Halifax house price index for February

MAR 10: BRC retail sales monitor for February


UK companies seek deeper ties with Europe as Trump tariffs fuel uncertainty, business groups say


The MSC Emma container ship on the dockside at the Port of Felixstowe in Felixstowe, UK, on Thursday, Nov. 20, 2025.

Bloomberg | Bloomberg | Getty Images

British companies are seeking deeper trade ties with Europe, business groups told CNBC, as U.S. President Donald Trump unveiled a sweeping 15% tariff on all imports after the Supreme Court struck down previous levies.

New tariffs would mark a 50% increase on the level negotiated last year in a trade deal between the U.K. the U.S., making the country one of the worst hit, according to analysis from think tank Global Trade Alert.

While U.S. Trade Representative Jamieson Greer said the administration “expects” to stand by trade deals, the U.K. government is reportedly in ongoing discussions with counterparts in America.

The seesawing uncertainty is increasingly forcing U.K. businesses to look to closer alignment with the European Union and European countries, as they hunt for predictable trade partnerships, groups which represent U.K. businesses told CNBC.

“There’s just no certainty or consistency and companies are very weary of this,” said William Bain, head of trade policy at the British Chambers of Commerce (BCC), which represents 50,000 businesses.

“They’re potentially looking at other options in terms of doing more trade with Europe or with the Indo-Pacific [region], where there seem to be less risk of fluctuations,” he told CNBC.

Uncertainty

Trump’s announcement that there would be blanket tariffs on all imports to the U.S. over the weekend brought further headaches to Europe’s business sector, which had seen the longstanding global trading order torn up last year.

In April, the U.S. upended the status quo by imposing a range of tariffs on trading partners across the world.

UK companies seek deeper ties with Europe as Trump tariffs fuel uncertainty, business groups say

U.S. President Donald Trump inspected an honour guard during a welcome ceremony at Buckingham Palace in central London on June 3, 2019, on the first day of their three-day State Visit to the U.K. 

Mandel Ngan | Afp | Getty Images


U.S. trading partners cheer Supreme Court tariff ruling — but businesses must still navigate ‘murky waters’


World leaders during the G7 Leaders’ Summit in Kananaskis, in Alberta, Canada, June 17, 2025.

Amber Bracken |Reuters

U.S. trading partners offered a cautious welcome to the U.S. Supreme Court’s decision Friday to strike down large parts of President Donald Trump’s flagship trade policy on global tariffs — but global trade bodies warned of lingering uncertainty surrounding import levies.

The law that undergirds the import duties “does not authorize the President to impose tariffs,” the majority ruled six to three in the long-awaited Supreme Court decision.

Hours after the ruling, Trump said he signed an executive order imposing a new 10% “global tariff”. The “Section 122” tariffs will take effect “almost immediately,” Trump said. At a White House press briefing Friday afternoon, Trump railed against the “deeply disappointing” 6-3 ruling.

Trump’s tariff regime impacted a swathe of countries from the U.K. to India and the European Union. Some governments, like Vietnam and Brazil are still in negotiations.

Taiwan, home to the the world’s leading contract chipmaker and producer of the most advanced semiconductors, said the 10% flat tariff rate would, according to an initial assessment, have a “limited impact” on its economy.

The island will continue to “closely monitor” developments and maintain close communication with the U.S. to understand the specific measures and respond in a timely manner, the Taiwanese cabinet said in a statement on Saturday.

French President Emmanuel Macron reportedly said the Supreme Court’s ruling proved the benefit of having an effective counterweight to power.

“It is not bad to have a Supreme Court and, therefore, the rule of law,” Reuters quoted him as saying at an event in Paris on Saturday.

A U.K. government spokesperson said the country would continue to work with the White House administration to understand how the ruling will affect tariffs for the U.K. and the rest of the world

“This is a matter for the U.S. to determine but we will continue to support U.K. businesses as further details are announced,” the spokesperson said.

“The U.K. enjoys the lowest reciprocal tariffs globally, and under any scenario we expect our privileged trading position with the U.S. to continue.” The U.K. agreed a wide-ranging trade deal with the U.S. in May last year, which imposed a broad 10% levy on many goods, but also included certain carve-outs on steel, aluminum, cars and pharmaceuticals.

The Supreme Court case focused mainly on reciprocal tariffs, and the ruling leaves much of the U.K.’s trade deal with the U.S. — including preferential sectoral tariffs on steel, pharmaceuticals and autos — unaffected.

However, the British Chambers of Commerce (BCC) trade body said the U.S. Supreme Court decision adds to the ongoing uncertainty around levies.

U.S. trading partners cheer Supreme Court tariff ruling — but businesses must still navigate ‘murky waters’

William Bain, head of trade policy at the BCC, said the move “does little to clear the murky waters” for British businesses, warning that the President still has “other options at his disposal” to retain his current regime on steel and aluminum tariffs.  

“The court’s decision also raises questions on how U.S. importers can reclaim levies already paid and whether U.K. exporters can also receive a share of any rebate depending on commercial trading terms,” Bain said in a statement. “For the U.K., the priority remains bringing tariffs down wherever possible.”

Olof Gill, European Commission spokesperson for trade and economic security, said businesses on both sides of the Atlantic depend on “stability and predictability.”

“We remain in close contact with the U.S. Administration as we seek clarity on the steps they intend to take in response to this ruling,” Gill said. “We therefore continue to advocate for low tariffs and to work towards reducing them.”

Meanwhile, Dominic LeBlanc, Canada’s minister for U.S.-Canadian trade relations, said the decision “reinforces Canada’s position that the IEEPA tariffs imposed by the United States are unjustified.”

No trade ‘win’ yet

Elsewhere, Swissmem, Switzerland’s technology industry association, welcomed the ruling — but warned that the Trump administration could invoke other laws to “legitimize tariffs,” and called on Swiss policymakers to strengthen the competitiveness of the country with new free trade agreements.

“From the perspective of the Swiss export industry, this is a good decision. The high tariffs have severely damaged the tech industry. However, today’s ruling doesn’t win anything yet,” Swissmem said.

“The high tariffs have severely damaged the tech industry,” Swissmem wrote on X. “The crucial thing now is to quickly secure relations with the U.S. through a binding trade agreement.”

The International Chamber of Commerce noted that many businesses will welcome the ruling given the “significant strain” that has been placed on balance sheets in recent months.

“But companies should not expect a simple process: the structure of U.S. import procedures means claims are likely to be administratively complex. Today’s ruling is worrying silent on this issue and clear guidance from the Court of International Trade and the relevant U.S. authorities will be essential to minimise avoidable costs and prevent litigation risks,” the ICC said.

— CNBC’s Jackson Peck and Greg Kennedy helped contribute to this story.


CNBC’s UK Exchange newsletter: Compass shifts its trading to dollars — and it might not be the last


This report is from this week’s CNBC’s UK Exchange newsletter. Like what you see? You can subscribe here.

The dispatch

Compass is that rare beast —  a British company that is a genuine world leader in its field.

The world’s biggest contract caterer, which annually serves 5.5 billion meals in schools, colleges, workplaces, hospitals and sporting venues in more than 25 countries, is considered a well-run business.

Accordingly, its trading updates tend not to excite, routinely consisting of news on organic sales growth, margin improvements and — with workplace catering operations gradually being outsourced around the world — new business wins.

Last week’s update, though, brought something more eyebrow-raising as Compass announced that, from April 1, it will change the currency in which its shares are traded from sterling to the U.S. dollar.

The company explained that having reported in dollars since October 2023, the measure would align its share price trading currency with its reporting currency, “reducing FX volatility in the share price and simplifying the investment case for global investors.”

A large scale sample of the new twenty pound note featuring late British painter JMW Turner is seen during the launch event for the new note design at Turner Contemporary gallery in Margate, south eastern England, U.K., on October 10, 2019.

Leon Neal | Afp | Getty Images

Cue hand-wringing over how Compass — which derives around three-quarters of its revenues in dollars  could be the next big U.K. company to abandon London for the New York Stock Exchange.

Protests from Compass that it would continue to pay dividends in sterling, unless shareholders elect to receive them in dollars, fell on deaf ears.

Compass was, in fact, taking advantage of a relatively recent change to the so-called “ground rules” governing membership of indices overseen by FTSE Russell, part of LSEG, the owner of the London Stock Exchange.

Announced in March 2025, and coming into force last September, it allowed for companies whose shares trade in dollars or euros “to be considered for potential inclusion to the FTSE U.K. Index Series.”

In doing so, London has shown considerably more flexibility than some other major financial centers. The New York Stock Exchange, for example, insists that all NYSE-listed shares are quoted, traded and settled exclusively in dollars.

The first company to take advantage of the rule change, in January this year, was InterContinental Hotels Group, the parent of the Holiday Inn and Crowne Plaza hotel brands, which derives some 80% of its revenues and operating profits in dollars. If anything, it is even more British than Compass, dating back 249 years in the country. It is also proud of having registered the U.K.’s first trademark  the famous Bass red triangle  in 1875.

‘The accounts were not acceptable’

In a sense, changing the currency in which a company’s shares are traded is the logical next step in a process that began many years ago.

When companies were allowed to publish their report and accounts in currencies other than sterling, many started to do so. The three biggest companies in the FTSE 100 by market capitalization — HSBC, AstraZeneca and Shell — all now report in dollars. Unilever, the fourth largest, reports in euros. Others in the FTSE’s top 20 reporting in dollars include the miners Rio Tinto, Glencore and Anglo American, the oil major BP and the international bank Standard Chartered.

It is not a recent development. As long ago as 1989, the car rental company Avis Europe began accounting in the old European Currency Unit (ecu), the synthetic currency which later evolved into the euro. 

The move caused some complications for the business at the time. Alun Cathcart, the chairman and chief executive, told the annual Ecu Banking Association meeting at Copenhagen in June 1991 that, when Avis Europe had first submitted its report and accounts for 1990-91, the U.K. authorities refused to accept them.

He recounted: “We were asked to produce coins and notes, and if we couldn’t, the accounts were not acceptable.

“They were prepared to accept a report in Icelandic crowns or Australian dollars, but not in ecu.”

When in April 1997, Avis Europe floated on the stock market, it became the first London-listed company to report in ecus.

At the time, though, Avis Europe was very much an outlier. Other U.K. corporate stalwarts have only made the switch relatively recently. Shell began reporting its results solely in dollars at the beginning of 1998, explicitly doing so to encourage meaningful comparisons with U.S. rivals, with BP following suit a year later.

In the same sector, BG Group, the gas exploration and production company spun out of the old British Gas and acquired by Shell in 2015, began dollar reporting in 2009.

All were beaten by Rio Tinto, which has been listed longer in London than any other of the major global mining companies. It embraced the greenback following the merger in late 1995 of the old London-listed Rio Tinto Zinc (RTZ) and its 49%-owned Australian associate Conzinc Riotinto of Australia (CRA).

So it is surprising that the announcement from Compass last week caused such pearl-clutching. Perhaps the bigger surprise should be that British multinationals like GSK, British American Tobacco, Rolls-Royce, Diageo, RELX and Reckitt Benckiser, despite making most of their money overseas, remain loyal to the good old pound.

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Quote of the week

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In the markets

The FTSE 100 has traded lower over the past week, closing Tuesday at 10,353.84, compared to 10,402.34 a week ago. Britain’s blue-chip index finished yesterday’s session down about 0.3% on the day.

The British pound, meanwhile, rose slightly against the dollar this week, trading at $1.3665, up from $1.3650 last Wednesday, as yields on the U.K. government’s benchmark 10-year bonds — also known as gilts — dipped over the same period, finishing Tuesday at 4.495%, compared to 4.552% a week ago.

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CNBC’s UK Exchange newsletter: FTSE 100’s defensive slant comes into its own

The performance of the Financial Times Stock Exchange 100 Index over the past year.

— Hugh Leask

Coming up

Feb. 12: GDP preliminary estimate for 4Q

Feb. 17: Unemployment data for December

Feb. 18: CPI for January