Indian Wells 2026: Jack Draper vs Daniil Medvedev preview, head-to-head, odds, prediction & betting tips | BNP Paribas Open


Match Details

Fixture: Jack Draper vs Daniil Medvedev

Date: Thursday, March 12, 2026

Tournament: BNP Paribas Open 2026

Round: Quarterfinals

Category: ATP Masters 1000

Surface: Hard (outdoor)

Venue: Indian Wells Tennis Garden, Indian Wells, California, United States of America

Prize Money: $9,415,725 (total prize pool)

Live Telecast: USA – Tennis Channel | UK – Sky Sports | Canada – TSN


Jack Draper vs Daniil Medvedev preview

Jack Draper in action at the 2026 BNP Paribas Open in Indian Wells (Source: Getty)
Jack Draper in action at the 2026 BNP Paribas Open in Indian Wells (Source: Getty)

Jack Draper and Daniil Medvedev are set to face each other in the men’s singles quarterfinals at the 2026 BNP Paribas Open in Indian Wells.

Draper, the defending champion and the No. 14 seed, has showed glimpses of his aggressive, all-round game so far in his title defense. However, the Brit has also had to show character at times to get himself out of trouble. Two of the three matches he has played have gone the distance, with the most recent one being his memorable fourth-round win over former five-time Indian Wells champion Novak Djokovic.

Meanwhile, Medvedev, a former two-time runner up at the event, has been in fine form. The former World No. 1 Russian is yet to drop a set, having dispatched Alejandro Tabilo, Sebastian Baez and Alex Michelsen. Medvedev is running high on confidence at the moment, particularly because of his Dubai title triumph prior to his Indian Wells arrival. The Russian also clinched the Brisbane title at the start of the season.


Jack Draper vs Daniil Medvedev head-to-head

Daniil Medvedev in action at the 2026 BNP Paribas Open in Indian Wells (Source: Getty)
Daniil Medvedev in action at the 2026 BNP Paribas Open in Indian Wells (Source: Getty)

Medvedev won his and Draper’s sole past encounter in straight sets; a Round of 64 match at the 2024 Italian Open.


Jack Draper vs Daniil Medvedev odds

Player Name Moneyline Handicap Bets Total Games
Jack Draper +125 +2.5 (-140) Over 21.5 (-185)
Daniil Medvedev -155 -2.5 (-102) Under 21.5 (+125)

(Odds via BetMGM)


Jack Draper vs Daniil Medvedev prediction

Draper’s game certaintly has what it takes to trouble the counterpunching style of Medvedev, and the Brit will certainly be confident about taking on the Russian, particularly after his epic fourth-round victory over Djokovic. However, at the same time, Medvedev is likely to be much fresher for the contest given the significantly less court time he has spent owing to his relatively straightforward outings so far.

The former No. 1 is also much more experienced than the defending champion at playing matches in deep stages of men’s tennis’ biggest events, and this experience could very well be Draper’s undoing in the last eight.

Pick: Medvedev to win in three sets.


Jack Draper vs Daniil Medvedev betting tips

Tip 1: Given Draper’s fighting spirit and Medvedev’s tendency to grind out long rallies, a high game count is likely.

Tip 2: Match to feature at least one set tiebreak.