Oil prices hit six-month highs after Trump warns Iran of ‘bad things’ if there’s no deal


US President Donald Trump speaks to reporters on Air Force One before taking off from Joint Base Andrews, Maryland on Feb. 19, 2026.

Saul Loeb | AFP | Getty Images

Oil prices hovered near six-month highs on Friday after U.S. President Donald Trump warned Iran that “really bad things” will happen if there was no deal over its nuclear program.

International benchmark Brent crude futures with April delivery traded 0.2% lower at $71.53 per barrel at around 9:24 a.m. London time (4:24 a.m. ET), erasing earlier gains, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate futures with March delivery stood 0.2% lower at $66.30.

Both contracts notched their highest settle in six months in the previous session as energy market participants continue to monitor supply risks in the oil-rich Middle East.

The U.S. and Iran have held talks in Switzerland this week to try to resolve a standoff over Tehran’s nuclear program. Initial reports of progress, however, gave way to accusations from Washington that Iran had failed to address core U.S. demands.

Speaking at the first meeting of his Board of Peace in Washington on Thursday, the U.S. president said “bad things will happen” if Tehran doesn’t agree to a deal over its nuclear program.

Trump added that the world will likely find out over the next 10 days whether the U.S. will reach a deal with Iran or take military action. He later told reporters aboard Air Force One that he wanted an agreement within “10 to 15 days.”

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Oil prices hit six-month highs after Trump warns Iran of ‘bad things’ if there’s no deal

Brent crude futures over the last six months.

His comments come after a significant buildup of U.S. military forces in the Middle East and amid reports the White House is considering fresh military action against Tehran as soon as this weekend.

Trump said Iran’s nuclear potential had been “totally decimated” by U.S. strikes on its facilities in June last year, before adding “we may have to take it a step further or we may not,” without providing further details.

Iran reportedly said in a letter to United Nations Secretary-General Antonio Guterres on Thursday that Tehran will respond “decisively” if subjected to military aggression.

The Islamic Republic has conducted military drills in the strategically vital Strait of Hormuz in recent days, as well as joint naval drills with Russia in the Gulf of Oman, also known as the Sea of Oman.

Naval units from Iran and Russia carry out to simulation of rescue a hijacked vessel during the joint naval drills held at the Port of Bandar Abbas near the Strait of Hormuz in Hormozgan, Iran on February 19, 2026.

Anadolu | Anadolu | Getty Images

“Everything is in place, or will be by Saturday night, for strikes to commence and so the window opens then,” Daniel Shapiro, former U.S. ambassador to Israel, told CNBC’s “Access Middle East” on Friday.

“Doesn’t mean that’s going to happen immediately. The president did indicate that he is waiting to hear from Iran whether they are prepared to make concessions on their nuclear program that he’s insisting on,” Shapiro said.

“I think it’s unlikely. We have never seen Iran open to those types of concessions, so I think it is unlikely they will agree to those, which means that in the days coming, the president will have to make that decision on military strikes,” he added.

A ‘very well supplied’ market

The Trump administration has said it still hopes to reach a diplomatic resolution over Tehran’s nuclear program, with White House press secretary Karoline Leavitt saying on Wednesday that it would be “very wise” for Iran to make a deal.

Martijn Rats, chief commodity strategist at Morgan Stanley, said that, while the oil market is “very well supplied” on a global basis, there are three factors propping up prices.

“Worries about Iran, clearly. Also, an unusually large amount of buying by China, simply for stockpiling purposes. It makes you wonder what they are going to do with all these inventories and then also we have very high freight rates,” Rats told CNBC’s “Europe Early Edition” on Friday.

“The factor of those three that is most prominent, of course, is the issue in Iran,” Rats said.

U.S. will keep key oil routes open, even if it strikes Iran - analyst

Strategists at Barclays said Friday that while equity markets have largely shrugged off the geopolitical noise so far, tensions have been rising since Vice President JD Vance accused Iran of failing to discuss so-called “red lines,” alongside reports of increased U.S. military capability in the region.

“We believe that any strike would likely have to be time limited and with defined targets (nuclear, ballistic missiles), as they were last summer,” the strategists said in a research note.

“With midterm elections later this year and the administration prioritizing affordability for US consumers, we suspect their willingness to tolerate a prolonged period of significantly higher oil prices, and potentially casualties too, will be limited,” they continued. “So if conflict is imminent it is likely to be short lived, in our view.”


Inside Iran’s hellish Evin jail where British couple face 10 years of torture


Inside Iran’s hellish Evin jail where British couple face 10 years of torture
Evin prison houses political prisoners, dissidents and foreign nationals (Picture: Siamak Ebrahimi/ZUMA Press Wire)

For the next 10 years, Lindsay and Craig Foreman may call one of Iran’s most notorious prisons home.

The British couple were jailed today over allegations of espionage after being arrested last year during an around-the-world motorcycle journey.

They’re currently held in Evin prison, a detention facility in Tehran where dissidents and political prisoners are held. 

Human rights campaigners have long viewed the jail as a symbol of the iron-fisted rule of the Islamic Republic.

The Foremans, who deny all wrongdoing, have described being holed up in eight-foot cells with nothing more than a hole in the floor and a sink.

Here’s what to know about the prison.

What is Evin prison?

The compound, opened in 1971, sits on the picturesque slopes of the Alborz Mountain in northern Tehran.

Within a few years, the institution gained a reputation for the conditions prisoners face inside.

In 1988, thousands of prisoners were executed after cursory trials in what the Human Rights Watch called the ‘darkest period in Evin’s history’.

Inmates include opposition politicians campaigner’s journalists, lawyers and even students, with concrete walls, electrified barbed-wire fences and a minefield between them and the outside world.

Citizens of foreign countries and dual citizens have routinely been placed in Evin, such as French nationals Cécile Kohler and Jacques Paris.

The pair, who were imprisoned on charges of spying for France and Israel, were held for three years before being freed last year.

These years-long prison sentences have led to the UK and the US accusing Iran of using foreign nationals as political bargaining chips.

EMBARGOED TO 1600 THURSDAY AUGUST 28 Undated family handout photo of Lindsay and Craig Foreman. The family of the British couple detained in Iran have requested an urgent meeting with the Foreign Secretary after the pair were "suddenly whisked" to a courtroom in the country's capital. The pair were taken into custody in January during a motorcycle tour around the world and were later charged with espionage. The couple, of East Sussex, deny the allegations. Issue date: Thursday August 28, 2025. PA Photo. Photo credit should read: Family handout/PA Wire NOTE TO EDITORS: This handout photo may only be used for editorial reporting purposes for the contemporaneous illustration of events, things or the people in the image or facts mentioned in the caption. Reuse of the picture may require further permission from the copyright holder.
Lindsay and Craig Foreman were detained last year (Picture: Family handout/PA Wire)
TOPSHOT - Two women walk amidst debris at the Evin prison's visitor room after Israeli air strikes the previous month, in Tehran, on July 1, 2025. Israel on June 13 launched a major bombing campaign against Iran, killing top military commanders and atomic scientists. Iran retaliated with waves of missiles and drone strikes which hit major cities in Israel including Tel Aviv and Haifa, killing 28 people, according to Israeli authorities. A ceasefire between Iran and Israel took effect on June 24. (Photo by AFP) (Photo by -/AFP via Getty Images)
Human rights campaigners have criticised the prison since it opened decades ago (Picture: AFP)
In this undated frame grab taken from video shared with The Associated Press by a self-identified hacker group called
CCTV footage shows a guard beating a prisoner at Evin prison (Picture: AP)
A picture obtained from the Iranian Mizan News Agency on October 16, 2022 shows empty bunk beds inside the notorious Evin prison, northwest of the Iranian capital Tehran. Eight Iranian inmates were killed in a fire that raged through Tehran's notorious Evin prison, the judiciary said on October 17, doubling the official toll from the blaze that further stoked tensions one month into protests sparked by the death of Mahsa Amini. Authorities in the Islamic republic have blamed the fire late on October 15 on "riots and clashes" among prisoners, but human rights groups said they doubted the official version of events and also feared the real toll could be even higher. (Photo by KOOSHA MAHSHID FALAHI / MIZAN / AFP) (Photo by KOOSHA MAHSHID FALAHI/MIZAN/AFP via Getty Images)
Inmates say they are placed in cramped cells with dozens of others (Picture: AFP)

Also among them are the protesters who took to the streets in 2022 following the death of Mahsa Amini, an Iranian woman arrested by the country’s so-called morality police.

During the unrest, a fire broke out at Evin amid clashes between prisoners who had been staging sit-ins and chanting anti-government slogans.

Although Amnesty International said the fire was used as a justification for the bloody crackdown that followed at the hands of prison guards.

Israel targeted Evin prison last year, killing 79 people and wounding dozens, including prison guards, prisoners and visiting family members.

At least six projectiles damaged 28 buildings, reducing stretches to piles of debris and mangled metal beams. Human Rights Watch said this amounted to a war crime.

What are conditions like at the prison?

Harsh treatment and abuse are widespread, according to former prisoners.

They say they have gruelling interrogations, torture, rape, psychological humiliation and solitary confinement.

Some ex-inmates say they endured hours-long interrogations while blindfolded and the lights were constantly on in their cells to stop them from sleeping.

All they could hear were the cries from the other cells or the barks from prison guards threatening their families.

Bed bugs, cockroaches and rats are said to scuttle through the feet of the sometimes dozens of people housed in halls with just four rooms.

An Iranian press photographer takes photos of an office building of the Evin prison, which is destroyed in Israeli strikes in northern Tehran, Iran, on July 1, 2025. (Photo by Morteza Nikoubazl/NurPhoto via Getty Images)
Evin prison was partially destroyed in 2025 by destroyed in Israeli strikes (Picture: NurPhoto/Getty Images)
A picture obtained from the Iranian Mizan News Agency on October 16, 2022 shows debris following a fire in the notorious Evin prison, northwest of the Iranian capital Tehran. Eight Iranian inmates were killed in a fire that raged through Tehran's notorious Evin prison, the judiciary said on October 17, doubling the official toll from the blaze that further stoked tensions one month into protests sparked by the death of Mahsa Amini. Authorities in the Islamic republic have blamed the fire late on October 15 on "riots and clashes" among prisoners, but human rights groups said they doubted the official version of events and also feared the real toll could be even higher. (Photo by KOOSHA MAHSHID FALAHI / MIZAN / AFP) (Photo by KOOSHA MAHSHID FALAHI/MIZAN/AFP via Getty Images)
Riots and a fire tore through the prison in 2022 (Picture: AFP)
TEHRAN, IRAN - JULY 01: Workers repair the main entrance of Evin Prison after it was hit by an Israeli airstrike on June 23, viewed on July 01, 2025 in Tehran, Iran. Evin Prison was among several sites hit by Israel, prior to a cease-fire that came into effect on June 24.(Photo by Majid Saeedi/Getty Images)
Evin sits in the foothills of the Alborz mountains (Picture: Getty Images Europe)

That includes Craig, who said he spent 57 days in confinement, which ’emotionally and physically’ broke him.

Lindsay told the BBC that she has spends her days running ‘in circles’ in the prison’s cramped yard.

She told the broadcaster: ‘I’ve resigned myself to the fact that my physical health might not be what it was when I came in but I can regain it when I leave…

‘I’m surrounded by people who are in worse situations who have to live this their entire life, so in some way I feel lucky that I’ve had the life I have until this point – and hopefully one day for me it will end.’

Get in touch with our news team by emailing us at webnews@metro.co.uk.

For more stories like this, check our news page.


U.S. says Tehran would be ‘very wise’ to make a deal as Russia, Iran hold naval drills


U.S. President Donald Trump disembarks Air Force One at Palm Beach International Airport in West Palm Beach, Florida, U.S., Feb. 13, 2026.

Elizabeth Frantz | Reuters

The Trump administration has warned it would be “very wise” for Iran to make a deal, amid reports the White House is considering fresh military action against Tehran as soon as this weekend.

It comes shortly after Vice President JD Vance accused Iran of failing to address core U.S. demands during nuclear talks in Switzerland this week. Iran’s foreign minister previously reported progress in the talks, saying the two countries had reached an understanding over the “guiding principles” for the negotiations.

Speaking at a news briefing Wednesday, White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt said there were “many reasons and arguments that once could make for a strike against Iran,” noting that the two countries remain “very far apart” on some issues.

The U.S. president had a “very successful” operation last June, Leavitt said, when U.S. stealth bombers struck three Iranian nuclear facilities as part of “Operation Midnight Hammer.”

U.S. says Tehran would be ‘very wise’ to make a deal as Russia, Iran hold naval drills

“The president has always been very clear though with respect to Iran or any country around the world, diplomacy is always his first option. And Iran would be very wise to make a deal with President Trump and this administration,” Leavitt said.

The White House has said it still hopes to reach a diplomatic resolution over Tehran’s nuclear program, although U.S. media has reported that the military could be prepared to strike Iran as early as the weekend.

‘Extremely dangerous’ situation

Both the U.S. and Iran have increased military activity in the oil-producing Middle East region in recent weeks.

The U.S., for its part, has built up a significant presence of air and naval assets, while Iran has conducted military drills in the strategically vital Strait of Hormuz and announced joint naval drills with Russia in the Sea of Oman.

Laura James, Middle East senior analyst at Oxford Analytica, described the current situation as “extremely dangerous,” with the U.S. and Iran “certainly closer” to an outright conflict than last week.

Never underestimate President Trump's ability to change his mind: Analyst

“The thing that is now a particular concern over the past 24 hours is the very rapid pace at which the United States is reinforcing its air power in the region. That, of course, can still be signalling and pressure for a particular diplomatic outcome,” James told CNBC’s “Access Middle East” on Thursday.

“But as more and more planes comes in and more and more equipment comes in, that signalling gets more and more expensive. And therefore, the payoff you want for it in diplomatic terms has to be larger — and there is simply no sign Tehran can offer the absolute minimum that Washington is likely to demand,” she added.

Oil prices

Energy market participants have been closely watching the outcome of the U.S.-Iran talks in Geneva, particularly as it relates to the Strait of Hormuz, a major international waterway that Iran partially closed on Tuesday citing “security precautions.”

Located in the gulf between Oman and Iran, the Strait of Hormuz is recognized as one of the world’s most important oil choke points.

Iranian military personnel take part in an exercise titled ‘Smart Control of the Strait of Hormuz’, launched by the Naval Forces of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, is being carried out in the Persian Gulf and the Strait of Hormuz on February 16, 2026.

Anadolu | Anadolu | Getty Images

About 13 million barrels per day of crude oil transited the Strait of Hormuz in 2025, accounting for roughly 31% of global seaborne crude flows, data provided by market intelligence firm Kpler showed.

Oil prices were higher on Thursday, extending gains after settling up more than 4% in the previous session.

International benchmark Brent crude futures with April delivery rose 1.5% to $71.41 per barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate futures with March delivery stood 1.7% higher at $66.27.

— CNBC’s Lee Ying Shan contributed to this report.


Iran partially closes Strait of Hormuz, a vital oil chokepoint, as Tehran holds talks with U.S.


Iranian Navy soldiers at an armed speed boat in Persian Gulf near the strait of Hormuz about 1320km (820 miles) south of Tehran, April 30, 2019.

Morteza Nikoubazl | Nurphoto | Getty Images

Iran partially closed the strategically vital Strait of Hormuz on Tuesday, state media reported, citing “security precautions” as Tehran’s Revolutionary Guards conduct military drills in the waterway.

It comes as the U.S. and Iran hold talks in the Swiss city of Geneva, seeking to resolve an ongoing dispute over Tehran’s nuclear program.

It marks the first time Iran has shut parts of the Strait of Hormuz, a major international waterway that links crude producers in the Middle East with key markets across the globe, since U.S. President Donald Trump threatened Tehran with military action in January.

Located in the Gulf between Oman and Iran, the strait is recognized as one of the world’s most important oil chokepoints.

About 13 million barrels per day of crude oil transited the Strait of Hormuz in 2025, accounting for roughly 31% of global seaborne crude flows, data provided by market intelligence firm Kpler showed.

Tuesday’s temporary closure of the waterway was aimed at ensuring shipping safety as part of the Revolutionary Guards’ “Smart Control of the Strait of Hormuz” drill. The exercise is designed to improve Iran’s operational readiness and bolster its deterrence, among other objectives.

Iran and the U.S. reached an understanding of the “guiding principles” during the talks, Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi told reporters after they concluded, Reuters reported.

The progress does not mean an agreement will be reached soon and more work still needs to be done, he added.

Iran partially closes Strait of Hormuz, a vital oil chokepoint, as Tehran holds talks with U.S.

Energy market participants had been closely watching the outcome of the U.S.-Iran talks, particularly as both sides have increased their military presence in the region.

Oil prices were last seen trading lower, erasing earlier gains. International benchmark Brent crude futures with April delivery fell 1.8% to $67.48 a barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate futures with March delivery stood 0.4% lower at $62.65

Jakob Larsen, chief safety and security officer at BIMCO, which represents global shipowners, said the temporary closure of the Strait of Hormuz was likely to cause “minor nuisance and delays” to inbound shipping headed for the Persian Gulf — but no major disruptions.

“The exercise establishes a live firing exercise area overlapping the inbound part of Strait of Hormuz’s Traffic Separation Scheme, and requests that shipping keeps clear of the area for the duration of a few hours,” Larsen said.

“Given the level of tension in the area, it is expected that commercial shipping will comply with the Iranian request to keep clear of the exercise area,” he added.

— CNBC’s Lori Ann LaRocco & Lee Ying Shan contributed to this report.


After weeks of tension, Trump is still talking tough on Iran. Here’s what could happen next


The prospect of a U.S. attack on Iran has roiled oil prices this year, but analysts tell CNBC a strike would require more military commitment and be more complicated, than the U.S. is prepared for.

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Oil prices hit six-month highs after Trump warns Iran of ‘bad things’ if there’s no deal

Brent crude April futures

Tensions are high, and despite talks last week in Oman, both sides remain at an impasse. U.S. President Donald Trump’s pressure on the Iranian regime escalated after a brutal crackdown on anti-government protestors across the country last month.

Trump said this week he was considering sending a second aircraft carrier to the Middle East, even as Washington and Tehran prepare to resume talks. On Tuesday, he threatened Iran with “something very tough,” if it does not agree to Washington’s demands, which range from halting the country’s nuclear enrichment to cutting Tehran’s ballistic missile program.

The U.S. deployed the USS Abraham Lincoln carrier strike group to the Middle East in January. This brought the number of missile destroyers in the region to six, but, analysts say, this still wouldn’t be enough to topple the regime. Following through on his “something tough” threat would mean a prolonged conflict in a region Trump is wary of.

“U.S. forces in the region are not adequate to support a significant long-term military operation in Iran which would be necessary to achieve any major military objective,” Alireza Ahmadi, executive fellow at the Geneva Center for Security Policy, told CNBC.

Trump has also dialed up his pressure on the Islamic Republic, applying financial pressure to an economy already crippled by sanctions. Just last month, he vowed to impose tariffs on any country that acquires any goods or services from Iran.

But it is unclear what could come next. “President Trump is notoriously unpredictable,” Ali Vaez, director of Iran Project at Crisis Group, told CNBC but added Trump is aware “the Iran problem set does not lend itself to clean and easy military options.”

Could the U.S. still attack Iran?

Michael Rubin, a former Pentagon official and senior fellow at the American Enterprise Institute, told CNBC that “the cost of not attacking Iran would be huge,” adding, if he doesn’t, “Trump’s legacy will be as the president who enabled Iran to go nuclear.”

“The President is in a jam, his options are not great and it’s a very risky moment at this point,” Bob McNally, president of Rapidan Energy Group, told CNBC’s Dan Murphy last week. McNally added the country’s ballistic missile program meant that “we’d have to go big, because Iran is quite formidable.”

What are Trump’s options?

Trump said last week that Iran’s supreme leader, Ayatollah Khamenei, should be “very worried.”

But targeting Iran’s leadership would not be an operation like the one that seized Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro, analysts have warned.

“The Iranian government is not Venezuela,” Alireza Ahmadi said, adding that if the U.S. removed Khamenei, “a replacement would be chosen immediately and the military would effectively be running the country for the foreseeable future.”

Power in Iran is centralized around Khamenei. While there is a president, the Islamic Republic’s political, military and foreign policy decisions are all made by him. Khamenei has held ultimate authority for the last three decades, aided by the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps, which helps enforce the regime’s policies and plays a major role in its foreign policy.

If the U.S. were able to remove Khamenei and found a regime official to replace him with, there would still be an “open question” on what happens to the IRGC, Rubin told CNBC.

Iranian worshippers hold portraits of Iran’s Supreme Leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, and a country flag during a protest to condemn Israeli attacks on Iran, after Friday prayers ceremonies in downtown Tehran, Iran, on June 13, 2025.

Morteza Nikoubazl | Nurphoto | Getty Images

“The U.S. cannot change the regime through air power alone and without any boots (U.S. or Iranian) on the ground. It can only transform the regime into something else, which could be worse, or turn Iran into another failed state,” Vaez told CNBC.

Ahmadi said regime change in Iran “would require at least an Iraq War level of military commitment, which Trump is unlikely to favor.” Between 2003 and 2011, 4,500 American armed forces personnel were killed in Iraq.

The White House claimed after strikes on three main nuclear sites last year that Iran’s nuclear facilities were “obliterated.” Iran moved to quickly repair the damage to ballistic missile sites but according to analysis from the New York Times, has made “limited fixes” to the major nuclear sites hit by the United States.

Iran has long claimed it does not have any plans to develop nuclear weapons. As talks restart between Washington and Tehran, Iran has offered to cap its enrichment at low levels. The U.S. has opposed the Iranians enriching any uranium since the nuclear deal collapsed in 2018.

While the U.S. has vowed to attack Iran if it resumes its nuclear and missile programs, it is unclear whether these sites would again be primed for attack. “Both options are likely to lead to a disproportionate Iranian retaliation, which could then turn the confrontation into a regional conflagration,” Vaez said.

Potential Iranian retaliation

Iran has vowed to retaliate against U.S. bases in the region if Washington strikes.

“Iran is betting that the U.S. does not have enough missile interceptors and THAAD systems to protect its sprawling military bases and facilities across the region, as well as Israel,” Ahmadi told CNBC.

The U.S. has around 40,000 military personnel in the Middle East. It has bases in the Arabian Gulf including the United States Naval Forces Central Command in Bahrain, Al Udeid air base in Qatar, which Iran hit last summer and Al Dhafra air base just south of Abu Dhabi.

In this frame-grab made from video, missiles and air-defense interceptors illuminate the night sky over Doha after Iran launched an attack on US forces at Al Udeid Air Base on June 23, 2025 in Doha, Qatar.

Getty Images

“Iran will undoubtedly target U.S. bases in Iraq, Syria, the Gulf, and its naval assets. It is also likely to target Israel. The remnants of its proxies could also join in,” Vaez told CNBC.

Iran seems “to be preparing for a week, if not months, long military confrontation. There seems to be a sense among Iranian leadership that the U.S. is overestimating its leverage and that a significant war may be necessary to correct those assumptions,” Ahmadi added.

BCA's Matt Gertken on U.S.-Iran tensions: Ingredients are there for a 'historic confrontation'


Deaths in Iran’s crackdown on protests reach at least 7,000, activists say



The death toll from a crackdown over Iran’s nationwide protests last month has reached at least 7,002 people killed with many more still feared dead, activists said Thursday.

The slow rise in the number of dead from the demonstrations adds to the overall tensions facing Iran both inside the country and abroad as it tries to negotiate with the United States over its nuclear program.

A second round of talks remains up in the air as Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu pressed his case directly with US President Donald Trump to intensify his demands on Tehran in the negotiations.

“There was nothing definitive reached other than I insisted that negotiations with Iran continue to see whether or not a Deal can be consummated. If it can, I let the Prime Minister know that will be a preference,” Trump wrote afterward on his TruthSocial website.

This handout picture provided by the office of Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei shows him waving during a meeting with Iranian people in Tehran on February 1, 2026. KHAMENEI.IR/AFP via Getty Images

“Last time Iran decided that they were better off not making a Deal, and they were hit. … That did not work well for them. Hopefully this time they will be more reasonable and responsible.”

Meanwhile, Iran at home faces still-simmering anger over its wide-ranging suppression of all dissent in the Islamic Republic.

That rage may intensify in the coming days as families of the dead begin marking the traditional 40-day mourning for the loved ones.

Activists’ death toll slowly rises

The US-based Human Rights Activists News Agency, which offered the latest figures, has been accurate in counting deaths during previous rounds of unrest in Iran and relies on a network of activists in Iran to verify deaths.

The slow rise in the death toll has come as the agency slowly is able to crosscheck information as communication remains difficult with those inside of the Islamic Republic.

Iran’s government offered its only death toll on Jan. 21, saying 3,117 people were killed. Iran’s theocracy in the past has undercounted or not reported fatalities from past unrest.

The Associated Press has been unable to independently assess the death toll, given authorities have disrupted internet access and international calls in Iran.

The rise in the death toll comes as Iran tries to negotiate with the United States over its nuclear program.

Millions of Iranians marched through the streets of Tehran and cities across the country to mark the 47th anniversary of the 1979 Islamic Revolution. Noor Pictures/Shutterstock

Diplomacy over Iran continues

Senior Iranian security official Ali Larijani met Wednesday in Qatar with Foreign Minister Sheikh Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani.

Qatar hosts a major US military installation that Iran attacked in June, after the US bombed Iranian nuclear sites during the 12-day Iran-Israel war in June.

Larijani also met with officials of the Palestinian Hamas militant group, and in Oman with Tehran-backed Houthi rebels from Yemen on Tuesday.

A protester holding a placard reading “Massacre is happening in Iran in total blackout.” ZUMAPRESS.com

Larijani told Qatar’s Al Jazeera satellite news network that Iran did not receive any specific proposal from the US in Oman, but acknowledged that there was an “exchange of messages.”

Qatar has been a key negotiator in the past with Iran, with which it shares a massive offshore natural gas field in the Persian Gulf.

Its state-run Qatar News Agency reported that ruling emir Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani spoke with Trump about “the current situation in the region and international efforts aimed at de-escalation and strengthening regional security and peace,” without elaborating.

This video grab taken on January 14, 2026 from UGC images posted on social media on January 13, 2026, shows dozens of bodies lying on the ground at the Tehran Province Forensic Diagnostic and Laboratory Centre in Kahrizak. UGC/AFP via Getty Images

The US has moved the aircraft carrier USS Abraham Lincoln, ships and warplanes to the Middle East to pressure Iran into an agreement and have the firepower necessary to strike the Islamic Republic should Trump choose to do so.

Already, US forces have shot down a drone they said got too close to the Lincoln and came to the aid of a US-flagged ship that Iranian forces tried to stop in the Strait of Hormuz, the narrow mouth of the Persian Gulf.

Trump told the news website Axios that he was considering sending a second carrier to the region. “We have an armada that is heading there and another one might be going,” he said.

Concern over Nobel Peace Prize laureate

Meanwhile, the Norwegian Nobel Committee said it was “deeply appalled by credible reports detailing the brutal arrest, physical abuse and ongoing life‑threatening mistreatment” of 2023 Peace Prize laureate Narges Mohammadi.

The committee that awards the prize said it had information Mohammadi had been beaten during her arrest in December and continued to be mistreated. It called for her immediate and unconditional release.

“She continues to be denied adequate, sustained medical follow‑up while being subjected to heavy interrogation and intimidation,” the committee said. “She has fainted several times, suffers from dangerously high blood pressure and has been prevented from accessing necessary follow‑up for suspected breast tumors.”

Iran just sentenced Mohammadi, 53, to over seven more years in prison. Supporters had warned for months before her arrest that she was at risk of being put back into prison after she received a furlough in December 2024 over medical concerns.


Exclusive | Gaza’s ‘gargantuan’ rebuild now begins after last hostage is finally returned to Israel, Huckabee says



WASHINGTON — With the last remaining Israeli hostage finally returned home, the real work of rebuilding Gaza is now beginning, US Ambassador to Israel Mike Huckabee exclusively told The Post.

“It’s just now really starting to take hold. Things will start moving much more rapidly now that the hostages are back,” he said. “Quite frankly, the Israelis were in no mood to start building a new life for people in Gaza until Hamas was finally held responsible for the last of the hostages.”

Israel on Jan. 26 recovered Israeli police officer Ran Gvili’s body, which Hamas had taken to Gaza after killing him on Oct. 7, 2023. With that final return, Huckabee said, Gaza is entering a new and daunting phase: the slow, incremental resurrection of a territory left in “absolute ruins” after years of war.

“This isn’t going to be an event; it’s going to be a process,” he said. “People will begin to move out of areas that are really dangerous — the red zones — into the green zones. Housing is being constructed. Utilities will be restored.”

Materials and now flowing into the territory with the first steps involving the installation of pre-fabricated homes “so people can start a new life and maybe have a future in Gaza,” he said.

“People will be able to access not just housing, but utilities that work — rebuilding a society pretty much from the rubble of a war that never should have lasted this long,” he said.

US Ambassador to Israel Mike Huckabee said the rebuilding of Gaza can truly begin now that all Israeli hostages —living and dead — have been returned home. AFP via Getty Images

“Rebuilding from scratch”

Huckabee cautioned that the rebuild won’t be an overnight fix; the extent of the destruction could stretch out the timeline — especially depending on global commitment and funding.

“We’re talking years,” Huckabee said. “It could be two, three years. It could be 10 years. A lot of it depends on how many nations actually step up.”

Oversight of Gaza’s reconstruction will fall to a technocratic governing committee tasked with the gritty, real-world work of restoring Gaza’s infrastructure.

“This is the heavy lifting,” Huckabee said. “Electricity. Water. Sewer. Roads. Cell towers. Internet. These are not political appointees looking for an office and a badge — these are people with real skills who know how to make things work.”

Most of the technocrats, he said, will come from Arab and Muslim states in the region, chosen for technical expertise rather than politics.

“If you’re rebuilding a society from scratch, you need people who actually know how to run things,” Huckabee said. “You need people who can build sewer systems, water systems, power grids, communications networks.”

The reconstruction of Gaza is a daunting task due to the huge devastation left behind from the war, Amb. MIke Huckabee said. AFP via Getty Images

The committee falls under President Trump’s international “Board of Peace,” which Huckabee said is focused more on the funding and enforcement of standards. To date, the board’s members include 25 member states — but European Union countries have so far refused to sign on.

“I find it interesting that some of the nations that criticized Israel the most — saying they weren’t doing enough humanitarian work — you’d be hard pressed to find them doing the heavy lifting right now,” Huckabee said. “A lot of them have talked. They haven’t walked.”

A central responsibility of the group will be ensuring Hamas or other extremist networks do not infiltrate the reconstruction effort — whether through aid groups, contractors, or payrolls.

“You’ve got to make sure the people getting paychecks and doing the rebuilding don’t have ties to terrorists,” he said. “Israel has been through too much to be careless about that.”

Beyond rebuilding streets and buildings, Huckabee said Gaza must undergo a deeper transformation — including a complete overhaul of an education system he said has fueled hatred for decades.

“Education will be restored to something that no longer incites children to hate Jews or want to kill them,” he said. “That’s been part of the curriculum in Gaza for over 20 years. That’s got to stop. And it’s going to stop.”

Almost nothing remains of Gaza outside of Gaza City following the two-year war between Israel and Hamas. Omar Ashtawy/APAImages/Shutterstock

A brighter future

Looking ahead, Huckabee pointed to Jared Kushner’s ambitious vision of transforming Gaza’s Mediterranean coastline into a thriving economic and tourism hub — a future he said investors are beginning to take more seriously as stability improves.

“People have scoffed at that vision,” Huckabee said. “But we’re in a very different place than we were a month ago. A year from now, we’re going to be in a much better place.”

He argued Gaza’s collapse was not inevitable — saying it could have become a Middle Eastern success story decades ago if not for Hamas’ grip on power.

“Gaza could have been Singapore,” Huckabee said. “Instead, they turned it into Haiti.”

To underscore the scale of Hamas’ militarization, he described Gaza as small in size but hollowed out by terror infrastructure beneath the surface.

“All of Gaza is about the size of Las Vegas,” Huckabee said. “And underneath it is a tunnel system larger than the London Underground — more than 500 miles — not to get kids to school or people to hospitals, but to shelter terror activity and hide hostages.”

“Project Sunrise” is the Trump administration’s pitch to foreign governments and investors to turn Gaza’s rubble into a futuristic coastal destination.

Much of that underground tunnel system was destroyed in the war — along with most everything that sat above it outside of Gaza City, making the rebuild process exceedingly daunting.

“We’re rebuilding a society pretty much from the rubble of a war that never should have lasted this long,” Huckabee said, placing full responsibility for the war’s length on Hamas dragging out the conflict.

“I hope people never forget why this lasted this long,” he said. “It lasted this long because Hamas refused to let the hostages go. They held on and held on — killing people, torturing people, raping hostages, starving hostages.”

But with the war’s end and hostages now home, Huckabee said Gaza’s rebuild is finally moving in the right direction.

“It’s a gargantuan undertaking,” he said. “But we are in a better place than we were a week ago, two weeks ago, a month ago — and it’s moving forward.”