Andrey Rublev vs Arthur Rinderknech preview, head-to-head, odds, prediction & betting tips | ATP Dubai Open 2026


Match Details

Fixture: Andrey Rublev vs Arthur Rinderknech

Date: Thursday, February 26, 2026

Tournament: ATP Dubai Tennis Championships 2026

Round: Quarterfinals

Category: ATP 500

Surface: Hard (outdoor)

Venue: Dubai Duty Free Tennis Stadium, Dubai, United Arab Emirates

Prize Money: $3,311,005 (total prize pool)

Live Telecast: USA – Tennis Channel | UK – Sky Sports | Canada – TSN


Andrey Rublev vs Arthur Rinderknech preview

Rublev in action at the 2026 ATP Qatar Open (Source: Getty)
Rublev in action at the 2026 ATP Qatar Open (Source: Getty)

Andrey Rublev and Arthur Rinderknech are set to clash in the men’s singles quarterfinals at the ongoing 2026 Dubai Tennis Championships.

Rublev began his Dubai campaign on the back of his semifinal loss to World No. 1 Carlos Alcaraz in Doha. The Russian former World No. 5 has so far registered wins over Valentin Royer and Ugo Humbert, with his match against Humbert going the distance. Rublev is the fifth seed at the ATP 500 tournament, which he won back in 2022. The Russian also finished as a runner-up the following year.

Meanwhile, Rinderknech, after back-to-back first-round exits at the Australian Open, Rotterdam Open and Qatar Open, is back to winning ways in Dubai. The Frenchman, ranked No. 31, notched a comeback victory over Fabian Marozsan in the first round and Dubai and then, more notably, dashed No. 4 seed Jack Draper’s hopes in the second round.


Andrey Rublev vs Arthur Rinderknech head-to-head

Arthur Rinderknech in action at the 2026 ATP Qatar Open (Source: Getty)
Arthur Rinderknech in action at the 2026 ATP Qatar Open (Source: Getty)

Rublev and Rinderknech have faced each other in three competitive meetings previously and the Russian won all three of those encounters. Their most recent clash came in the second round of the 2024 US Open. Here, Rinderknech established a commanding two-set lead but ultimately lost the match as Rublev found his form across the last three sets.


Andrey Rublev vs Arthur Rinderknech odds

Player Name Moneyline Handicap Bets Total Games
Andrey Rublev -350 -4.5 (+190) Over 21.5 (-200)
Arthur Rinderknech +260 +4.5 (-285) Under 21.5 (+135)

(Odds via BetMGM)


Andrey Rublev vs Arthur Rinderknech prediction

The upcoming clash promises a high-octane battle between two big servers. Rublev, the 2022 champion and a consistent semi-finalist in Dubai, enters as the clear favourite. The Russian has been dominant this week, winning 85% of his first-serve points and showcasing his signature power to overcome Humbert in three sets in the previous round.

However, Rinderknech just stunned fourth seed Draper. Averaging 16.5 aces per match in Dubai, the Frenchman’s serve is a formidable weapon in these fast conditions. While Rinderknech is likely to push a set into a tiebreak or even steal one, much like their five-set thriller at the 2024 US Open, Rublev’s superior baseline consistency and experience in the deeper stages of this tournament should see him through to the semi-finals.

Pick: Rublev to win in three sets.


Andrey Rublev vs Arthur Rinderknech betting tips

Tip 1: Rinderknech’s powerful serve (89% service games held this week) often leads to long sets; seven of his last eight best-of-three matches have gone over 22.5 total games.

Tip 2: Despite Rinderknech’s resilience, Rublev typically controls their baseline exchanges and has broken the Frenchman in 30% of their past return games, making ‘Rublev -3.5 games’ a viable handicap bet.